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dc.contributor.authorDey, Madan ( Orcid Icon 0000-0001-5273-2789 )
dc.contributor.authorRosegrant, Mark W. ( Orcid Icon 0000-0001-6371-6127 )
dc.contributor.authorGosh, Kamal ( )
dc.contributor.authorChen, Oai Li ( )
dc.contributor.authorValmonte-Santos, Rowena ( )
dc.date.accessioned2021-03-23T18:08:15Z
dc.date.available2021-03-23T18:08:15Z
dc.date.issued2016-01
dc.identifier.citationDey, M. M., Rosegrant, M. W., Gosh, K., Chen, O. L., & Valmonte-Santos, R. (2016). Analysis of the economic impact of climate change and climate change adaptation strategies for fisheries sector in Pacific coral triangle countries: Model, estimation strategy, and baseline results. Marine Policy, 67, pp. 156-163.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://digital.library.txstate.edu/handle/10877/13281
dc.description.abstractThis paper presents a supply-and-demand model for the fisheries sector developed to assess the effect of climate change and related adaptation strategies in four Pacific coral triangle (CT) countries—Fiji, Solomon Islands, Timor-Leste, and Vanuatu. The modeling approach used in this paper represents climate change in terms of supply shocks, and works out its economic consequences using the microeconomic tools of supply and demand. The analysis has considered three time periods: current (represented by the average data of the three most recent available years 2006–2009), medium term (2035), and long term (2050). The study covers all fisheries and aquaculture species, grouped into six key subsectors: tuna, other oceanic finfish, coastal finfish, coastal invertebrates, freshwater finfish, and freshwater invertebrates. Results of the baseline model indicate that with rising per capita income and population, fish demand is expected to increase substantially up to 2050. In contrast to significant growth in fish demand, growth in domestic fish production is projected to be slow due to climate change and other constraints. There is a strong likelihood that many Pacific countries will become large net importers of fish under the baseline scenario (i.e., without implementing climate change adaptation strategies). Likewise, per capita consumption of domestically produced fish is projected to decline under the baseline scenario.en_US
dc.formatText
dc.format.extent8 pages
dc.format.medium1 file (.pdf)
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherElsevieren_US
dc.sourceMarine Policy, 2016, No. 67, pp. 156-163.
dc.subjectSupply-demand modelen_US
dc.subjectFisheriesen_US
dc.subjectClimate changeen_US
dc.subjectFijien_US
dc.subjectSolomon Islandsen_US
dc.subjectVanuatuen_US
dc.subjectTimor-Lesteen_US
dc.titleAnalysis of the economic impact of climate change and climate change adaptation strategies for fisheries sector in Pacific coral triangle countries: Model, estimation strategy, and baseline resultsen_US
dc.typepublishedVersion
txstate.documenttypeArticle
dc.rights.holder© The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.12.011
dc.rights.licenseCreative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
txstate.departmentAgricultural Sciences


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