Stability and sensitivity analysis of the epidemiological model Be-CoDiS predicting the spread of human diseases between countries

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dc.contributor.authorIvorra, Benjamin
dc.contributor.authorNgom, Diene
dc.contributor.authorRamos, Angel M.
dc.date.accessioned2021-09-30T21:36:03Z
dc.date.available2021-09-30T21:36:03Z
dc.date.issued2020-06-18
dc.description.abstractThe Ebola virus disease is a lethal human and primate disease that requires a particular attention from the international health authorities due to important recent outbreaks in some Western African countries and isolated cases in Europe and North-America. Regarding the emergency of this situation, various decision tools, such as mathematical models, were developed to assist the authorities to focus their efforts in important factors to eradicate Ebola. In a previous work, we proposed an original deterministic spatial-temporal model, called Be-CoDiS (Between-Countries Disease Spread), to study the evolution of human diseases within and between countries by taking into consideration the movement of people between geographical areas. This model was validated by considering numerical experiments regarding the 2014-16 West African Ebola Virus Disease epidemic. In this article, we perform a stability analysis of Be-CoDiS. Our first objective is to study the equilibrium states of simplified versions of this model, limited to the cases of one or two countries, and determine their basic reproduction ratios. Then, we perform a sensitivity analysis of those basic reproduction ratios regarding the model parameters. Finally, we validate the results by considering numerical experiments based on data from the 2014-16 West African Ebola Virus Disease epidemic.
dc.description.departmentMathematics
dc.formatText
dc.format.extent29 pages
dc.format.medium1 file (.pdf)
dc.identifier.citationIvorra, B., Ngom, D., & Ramos A. M. (2020). Stability and sensitivity analysis of the epidemiological model Be-CoDiS predicting the spread of human diseases between countries. <i>Electronic Journal of Differential Equations, 2020</i>(62), pp. 1-29.
dc.identifier.issn1072-6691
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10877/14569
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherTexas State University, Department of Mathematics
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 International
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.sourceElectronic Journal of Differential Equations, 2020, San Marcos, Texas: Texas State University and University of North Texas.
dc.subjectEpidemiological modelling
dc.subjectDeterministic models
dc.subjectStability analysis
dc.subjectSensitivity analysis
dc.subjectEbola virus disease
dc.subjectBasic reproduction ratio
dc.titleStability and sensitivity analysis of the epidemiological model Be-CoDiS predicting the spread of human diseases between countries
dc.typeArticle

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